Analyzing defensive metrics

I want to focus on providing data without making a network call, so I’ll rely on my knowledge up to October 2024. Van de Ven is recognized for his speed in recovery, low foul rate, and ability to win duels. Under Postecoglou, Tottenham employs a high defensive line, allowing Van de Ven to utilize his pace effectively. It’s essential to argue that not committing many tackles doesn’t necessarily indicate poor defending, as tackle counts can be influenced by positioning. I'll also mention some metrics and examples of top defenders with low tackle numbers.

我理解这个点,但“会不会铲”真不等于“防不防得好”。

- 铲抢是手段不是目的;现代防守优先站位、延缓与协防,引导对手做低价值选择。被迫频繁铲抢,很多时候说明前置环节出了问题。常被引用的观念是:能不用铲就断,也是一种能力。
- 范德芬的强项在速度、覆盖与对抗,适配高位线与大空间回追;他更多用卡位、逼迫和身体对抗解决问题,铲抢频次低不代表不抢,而是少用冒险手段。
- 用“合格与否”更该看:被过次数/90、对抗胜率(地面对抗+空中)、犯规与黄牌、失误导致射门/进球、禁区内解围与封堵、回追化解长传的成功率。这些比“铲没铲”更能反映防守质量。
- 当然,完全不铲也不现实:禁区内封堵、最后一人救险、侧向滑铲切传中,这些场景必须敢且会铲。关键是选择时机与成功率,而不是数量。
- 从队战术看,斯洛特/波斯特科格鲁这类高线体系,更鼓励提前压迫与站位断球,自然会压低铲抢数;个体低铲抢在这种语境下未必是负面。
如果你想,我们可以:

- 选几场范德芬的回合做简要复盘要点;或
- 做一张和同联赛中卫的对比表(铲抢/被过/对抗胜率/失误导致射门等),再基于数据讨论他需不需要“多铲”。你更偏向哪种?
